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Refusal file · other

Why Ketju rejected Hyperliquid HLP

Memo v1Published by Ketju Research

A registry memo, published verbatim and versioned. Superseded versions are recorded, never edited away. A rejection is a judgment for Ketju's client base and thesis, not a universal safety claim. Not investment, legal, tax, or compliance advice.

The memo

REJECTED ON BOTH ELIGIBILITY AND A TWICE-REALIZED MARKET-MECHANIC LOSS. Hyperliquid's Terms define persons residing, located, incorporated, or registered in the United States as Restricted Persons barred from its interface. HLP is also not passive protocol revenue: it runs market-making strategies, supplies USDC in Earn, and acts as the backstop liquidator when ordinary order-book liquidation fails. That last role produced roughly $4M of actual loss in March 2025 after a trader forced liquidation of a $271M ETH long; later that month the JELLY manipulation transferred a toxic short to HLP and ended only after validators voted to delist the market and impose a settlement price. A current SEC-filed third-party prospectus reports approximately $13.5M of HLP losses from the JELLY activity. The response added margin tiers and isolated the liquidator strategy, but it also proved validators can alter a market outcome under pressure. A four-day deposit lock further means the client cannot exit as the risk first appears.

What would reopen the file

  • Hyperliquid publishes terms permitting this registry's United States client population to deposit in HLP
  • HLP completes 24 consecutive months without a realized market-mechanic loss exceeding 1% of vault equity
  • Validator node software becomes open-source and emergency market-settlement authority is bounded by a published rule with an independent appeal path
  • The four-day post-deposit withdrawal lock is removed or a verifiable emergency exit is added for new backstop-liquidation exposure
  • Any further HLP loss caused by a position transferred through backstop liquidation opens an immediate off-cycle review

Facts on file

Verdict
Rejected
Exposure
other
Chains examined
Hyperliquid L1
Memo version
v1
Reviewed
Next review

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